Grocers are facing government crackdowns, but will it lead to change?
In the U.S., President Joe Biden has been under pressure from consumers and lawmakers to address food prices.
The topic of “shrinkflation” — when companies reduce the size of a product but don’t reduce the price accordingly — even came up in his March 8 State of the Union speech.
In March, the U.S. Federal Trade Commission (FTC) issued a report saying some grocery retailers appeared to have used COVID-19 supply chain issues as an opportunity to hike prices. The FTC has also sued to block a proposed merger between the Kroger and Albertsons supermarket chains, saying it would harm competition and further raise grocery prices.
In Australia, similar pressure has been bubbling up. The government has directed its competition commission to conduct an inquiry into the country’s supermarkets' pricing practices and the relationship between prices on the shelf and prices along the supply chain.
Australia has a voluntary grocery code of conduct, though it's likely to soon become mandatory. Talk of Canada's own forthcoming voluntary code has recently been intertwined with talk of food inflation, but the code is intended to make industry negotiations fairer, not lower prices.
READ: Final hurdle clears for grocery code of conduct as Walmart, Costco sign on
Consumers are seeking the causes of food inflation, von Massow said, and there are many of them. But, politicians are looking for easy answers.
“The truth is, there is no silver bullet here," he said.
For the NDP, the focus has largely been on corporate profits, said von Massow, noting the party has advocated for a price cap on grocery store staples. It was NDP leader Jagmeet Singh who bore down on Loblaw’s Galen Weston at the meeting in March last year, repeating, “How much profit is too much profit?”
For the Conservatives, the carbon tax is a major talking point when it comes to food prices, said von Massow, while for the Liberals, there’s a focus on competition — industry minister Francois-Philippe Champagne has said he’s seeking a foreign grocer to enter the Canadian market.
The Competition Bureau last year released a report saying the grocery sector needs more competition to help “bring grocery prices in check.” And with its new powers granted by the Affordable Housing and Groceries Act, the bureau has launched an investigation into grocers’ use of allegedly anti-competitive real estate clauses.
Both von Massow and LaBarge said despite the focus on competition in Canada and abroad, there are also potential price benefits to consolidation.
“From a purely academic perspective, having a larger organization that has more buying power in the market and so has better ability to negotiate with suppliers should provide lower prices to consumers,” said LaBarge.
Von Massow said he doesn’t think there is strong evidence that grocers contributed significantly to inflation through pricing. However, he thinks the risk of profiteering is actually greater as prices stabilize or even go down: “It's much easier to lower prices more slowly than it is to raise prices more quickly.”
Without intervening through tools like subsidies, the government can’t do too much about food prices, said von Massow.
In fact, the focus on what specific companies may or may not be doing could be obscuring the more complex reality, he said: that global factors are the biggest contributors to food inflation, like extreme weather from climate change, the Russia-Ukraine conflict, and currency exchange rates.
We need to better mitigate these risks through moves like supply chain diversification, von Massow said.
“It's easy to focus on domestic markets. It's easy to look for domestic boogeymen ... but I think we're ignoring the global food system and the integration of the global food system, and the resilience that provides.”